Analyzing The Impact of Import Tariff Policy on Indonesia’s Economy: An Ibnu Khaldun Fiscal Framework

Sitti, Aisyah (2026) Analyzing The Impact of Import Tariff Policy on Indonesia’s Economy: An Ibnu Khaldun Fiscal Framework. IQTHISOD: Jurnal Pemikiran dan Hukum Ekonomi syariah, 5 (1). pp. 1-15.

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Abstract

This study analyses the import tariff policy implemented by Donald Trump, specifically the
initial 32% tariff on Indonesia that was later negotiated down to 19%, and its subsequent
impact on the Indonesian economy as seen through the lens of Ibnu Khaldun. The policy
aims to protect the U.S. domestic industry and reduce the trade deficit; however, it has
significant implications for trading partner countries, including a decline in export
competitiveness, the risk of layoffs, and potential trade imbalances. This study employs a
qualitative approach and a literature review method. The primary data source is Ibn Khaldun's
Muqaddimah, and secondary data is obtained from scientific journals, economic reports, and
reliable media outlets. Content analysis is used to link the concepts of tax (al-jibayah), the
cycle of civilization, and the fiscal burden in Ibn Khaldun's thinking with the reality of
contemporary import tariff policies. The results show that, although reducing tariffs from
32% to 19% mitigated the short-term socioeconomic impact, including the threat of mass
layoffs, these tariffs contradict Ibn Khaldun's fiscal principles. His principles emphasize light
taxation, fairness, and efficiency to encourage economic productivity. High tariffs have the
potential to weaken trade activity, hinder industrial growth, and create structural dependence.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Import Tariffs, Fiscal, Donald Trump
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BP Islam. Bahaism. Theosophy, etc
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Fakultas Agama Islam > S1 Ekonomi Syari'ah
Depositing User: Unnamed user with email aisyah151616@gmail.com
Date Deposited: 18 Oct 2026 02:01
Last Modified: 18 Oct 2026 02:01
URI: https://repository.unuja.ac.id/id/eprint/4675

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